Pennsylvania State Senator Doug Mastriano has confirmed he will not contest the Senate next year, dealing a blow to Republican hopes of regaining the moderate battleground state from Democratic Senator Bob Casey in the midterm elections. Mastriano’s decision leaves the GOP field open to recruit a strong candidate. Democrat incumbents already hold nine of the 18 seats in Pennsylvania’s congressional delegation, and the Republicans are likely to gain only one or two after redistricting this year. Mastriano had considered a Senate bid and gained national attention as an election denier who pushed to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election. He suffered a 14-point defeat in last year’s gubernatorial race, and his suitability to win a general election was doubted by Pennsylvania and Republican leaders.
The preferred GOP candidate for the Senate race on the party’s side may be David McCormick, a former hedge fund CEO, who was endorsed by Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and the National Republican Senatorial Committee, but who narrowly missed out on the party’s nomination in 2022 to Dr. Mehmet Oz. McCormick could face complications if former President Donald Trump were to throw his hat into the presidential ring. Trump’s decision to run could sway Republican support between McCormick and Trump, making it challenging for the former hedge fund CEO to gain the party’s nomination. Mastriano, who had Trump’s endorsement for the governor, suffered defeat in his election, making GOP leaders’ support for him waver considering his subpar political skills, extreme views, and fundraising difficulties.
The battleground Pennsylvania state has been the center of political turmoil, with several Republicans denying the 2020 elections’ legitimacy, which have since been debunked. The Senate race in the state could be among the most expensive contests on the political calendar, with party nominees expected to raise at least $100m to compete. Democrats have won the last three Senate races in Pennsylvania, and Casey has been serving as a senator for three terms. Pennsylvania would be an important win for either political party, with the state standing out as one of the most significant battleground states in the US.
In the midterm elections next year, the Democrats are facing a challenging Senate map, where they have 34 seats to defend, and incumbents from red states like Montana, Ohio, and West Virginia. The current balance in the Senate is evenly poised, with the Democrats holding a slim one-seat majority. Republicans set their sights on winning the Senate to counter the balance of power in their favor. Nonetheless, Republican hopes in Pennsylvania took a hit with Mastriano’s announcement, and the upcoming redistricting could also dash the party’s hopes of making any significant gains in the state’s congressional delegation.
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